Miss St
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 76.8009Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 34-17 906 H Arizona St B12 ( 8- 5, 80.6) 24-20 913 H Alcorn St 63- 0 920 H No Illinois MIDA ( 3- 9, 64.5) 38-10 927 H Tennessee SEC ( 8- 5, 83.7) 34-41 1004 A Texas A&M SEC (11- 1, 90.4) 9-31 1018 A Florida SEC ( 4- 8, 79.1) 21-23 1025 H Texas SEC (10- 3, 89.8) 38-45 1101 A Arkansas SEC ( 2-10, 78.1) 38-35 1108 H Georgia SEC (12- 2, 92.2) 21-41 1115 A Missouri SEC ( 8- 5, 84.0) 27-49 1128 H Ole Miss SEC (13- 2, 89.5) 19-38 102 N Wake Forest ACC ( 9- 4, 79.2) 29-43
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A So Miss 34-17 17 3 +++ 10.66
906 H Arizona St 24-20 4 1 + 2.58
920 H No Illinois 38-10 28 18 0.00
927 H Tennessee 34-41 -7 -2 -- -5.38
1004 A Texas A&M 9-31 -22 -19 0.00
1018 A Florida 21-23 -2 -8 ++ 5.55
1025 H Texas 38-45 -7 -8 0.71
1101 A Arkansas 38-35 3 -7 +++ 9.52
1108 H Georgia 21-41 -20 -10 - -3.91
1115 A Missouri 27-49 -22 -12 -1.54
1128 H Ole Miss 19-38 -19 -7 --- -6.56
102 N Wake Forest 29-43 -14 -2 --- -11.63
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1128 H Ole Miss 19-38 -19 -7 --- -6.56 102 N Wake Forest 29-43 -14 -2 --- -11.63 927 H Tennessee 34-41 -7 -2 -- -5.38 1108 H Georgia 21-41 -20 -10 - -3.91 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 830 A So Miss 34-17 17 3 +++ 10.66 1101 A Arkansas 38-35 3 -7 +++ 9.52 1018 A Florida 21-23 -2 -8 ++ 5.55 906 H Arizona St 24-20 4 1 + 2.58 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 34-17 -31.70 19.52 5.26 1.06 52.66
3 H Arizona St ( 8- 5, 80.6) 24-20 -19.26 31.96 -5.26 1.06 56.74
3 H No Illinois ( 3- 9, 64.5) 38-10 -35.36 15.86 -5.26 1.06 22.53
3 H Tennessee ( 8- 5, 83.7) 34-41 -16.22 35.00 -5.26 1.06 -11.41
3 A Texas A&M (11- 1, 90.4) 9-31 -9.45 41.77 5.26 1.06 -2.23
3 A Florida ( 4- 8, 79.1) 21-23 -20.81 30.41 5.26 1.06 -8.26
3 H Texas (10- 3, 89.8) 38-45 -10.13 41.09 -5.26 1.06 -8.18
3 A Arkansas ( 2-10, 78.1) 38-35 -21.84 29.38 5.26 1.06 73.62
3 H Georgia (12- 2, 92.2) 21-41 -7.75 43.47 -5.26 1.06 -6.91
3 A Missouri ( 8- 5, 84.0) 27-49 -15.90 35.32 5.26 1.06 -5.65
3 H Ole Miss (13- 2, 89.5) 19-38 -10.39 40.82 -5.26 1.06 -8.32
3 N Wake Forest ( 9- 4, 79.2) 29-43 -20.73 30.49 -0.00 1.06 -11.01
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143.57
|
winning pts = 205.5414 losing points = -61.9706
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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